Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Minnesota | L 0–38 | |
| Wk 2 | @ UTEP | L 13–20 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Wisconsin | L 7–66 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Hawai'i | W 45–26 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Florida International | L 7–21 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs New Mexico | W 21–9 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | @ Massachusetts | W 23–13 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | vs Lamar | W 51–14 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Missouri | L 14–45 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Liberty | W 49–14 | |
| Quick Lane Bowl | @ Bowling Green | W 24–19 |