Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Mississippi State | L 23–49 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Navy | W 37–13 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Arkansas State | W 44–32 | |
| Wk 4 | vs North Texas | W 44–34 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Temple | W 24–3 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Houston | L 32–33 | |
| Wk 7 | @ East Carolina | L 45–47 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Tulane | L 28–38 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs UCF | L 28–35 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Tulsa | W 26–10 | |
| Wk 12 | vs North Alabama | W 59–0 | |
| Wk 13 | @ SMU | L 31–34 | |
| Servpro First Responder Bowl | @ Utah State | W 38–10 |