Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 44–7 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Norfolk State | W 63–7 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | @ App State | W 32–28 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Texas State | W 40–13 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Arkansas State | W 42–20 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Georgia Southern | L 38–45 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Marshall | L 12–26 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | @ Louisville | L 10–34 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Old Dominion | W 37–3 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Georgia State | W 42–40 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Coastal Carolina | W 47–7 |