Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Morgan State | W 59–7 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Nebraska | W 45–42 | |
| Wk 3 | @ UAB | L 21–35 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Ball State | W 34–23 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Coastal Carolina | L 30–34 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Georgia State | L 33–41 | |
| Wk 7 | vs James Madison | W 45–38 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Old Dominion | W 28–23 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs South Alabama | L 31–38 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Louisiana | L 17–36 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Marshall | L 10–23 | |
| Wk 13 | vs App State | W 51–48 | |
| Wk 14 | Bye | — | — |
| Camellia Bowl | @ Buffalo | L 21–23 |