Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Bryant | W 38–37 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Texas State | L 12–41 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | @ Western Kentucky | L 0–73 | |
| Wk 5 | @ New Mexico State | W 21–7 | |
| Wk 6 | vs UConn | L 12–33 | |
| Wk 7 | vs UTSA | L 10–30 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Charlotte | W 34–15 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 42–34 | |
| Wk 10 | @ North Texas | L 14–52 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Florida Atlantic | L 7–52 | |
| Wk 12 | @ UTEP | L 6–40 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Middle Tennessee | L 28–33 |