Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 0 | vs Charlotte | W 43–13 | |
| Wk 1 | @ Ohio | L 38–41 | |
| Wk 2 | vs SE Louisiana | W 42–9 | |
| Wk 3 | vs UCF | L 14–40 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Purdue | L 26–28 | |
| Wk 5 | @ North Texas | L 28–45 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | vs Rice | W 17–14 | |
| Wk 8 | @ UTEP | L 21–24 | |
| Wk 9 | vs UAB | W 24–17 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Florida International | W 52–7 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Middle Tennessee | L 21–49 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Western Kentucky | L 31–32 |