Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 42–34 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Louisiana | L 21–49 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Arizona State | W 30–21 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Buffalo | L 31–50 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Massachusetts | W 20–13 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Western Michigan | W 45–23 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Northern Illinois | L 10–39 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Ball State | W 20–16 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Toledo | L 24–27 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Akron | W 34–28 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Kent State | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Central Michigan | W 38–19 | |
| Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | @ San José State | W 41–27 |