Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs NC State | L 20–21 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Old Dominion | W 39–21 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Campbell | W 49–10 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Navy | L 20–23 | |
| Wk 5 | @ South Florida | W 48–28 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Tulane | L 9–24 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Memphis | W 47–45 | |
| Wk 8 | vs UCF | W 34–13 | |
| Wk 9 | @ BYU | W 27–24 | |
| Wk 10 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 11 | @ Cincinnati | L 25–27 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Houston | L 3–42 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Temple | W 49–46 | |
| Ticketsmarter Birmingham Bowl | vs Coastal Carolina | W 53–29 |