Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Army | W 38–28 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 31–27 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Buffalo | W 38–26 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Georgia State | W 41–24 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Georgia Southern | W 34–30 | |
| Wk 6 | @ UL Monroe | W 28–21 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Old Dominion | L 21–49 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | @ Marshall | W 24–13 | |
| Wk 10 | vs App State | W 35–28 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Southern Miss | W 26–23 | |
| Wk 12 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 13 | @ James Madison | L 7–47 | |
| Ticketsmarter Birmingham Bowl | @ East Carolina | L 29–53 |