Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Arkansas | L 24–31 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Kennesaw State | W 63–10 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Miami (OH) | W 38–17 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Indiana | W 45–24 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Tulsa | W 31–21 | |
| Wk 6 | vs South Florida | W 28–24 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | @ SMU | W 29–27 | |
| Wk 9 | @ UCF | L 21–25 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Navy | W 20–10 | |
| Wk 11 | vs East Carolina | W 27–25 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Temple | W 23–3 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Tulane | L 24–27 | |
| Wasabi Fenway Bowl | @ Louisville | L 7–24 |