Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Oregon State | L 17–34 | |
| Wk 2 | @ New Mexico | W 31–14 | |
| Wk 3 | vs UT Martin | W 30–7 | |
| Wk 4 | @ UTEP | L 10–27 | |
| Wk 5 | vs San Diego State | W 35–13 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Fresno State | W 40–20 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | @ Air Force | W 19–14 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Colorado State | W 49–10 | |
| Wk 10 | vs BYU | L 28–31 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Nevada | W 41–3 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Wyoming | W 20–17 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Utah State | W 42–23 | |
| Mountain West Championship Game | vs Fresno State | L 16–28 | |
| Frisco Bowl Presented By Servpro | vs North Texas | W 35–32 |