Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Cincinnati | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 2 | vs South Carolina | W 44–30 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Missouri State | W 38–27 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Texas A&M | L 21–23 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Alabama | L 26–49 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Mississippi State | L 17–40 | |
| Wk 7 | @ BYU | W 52–35 | |
| Wk 8 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 9 | @ Auburn | W 41–27 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Liberty | L 19–21 | |
| Wk 11 | vs LSU | L 10–13 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Ole Miss | W 42–27 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Missouri | L 27–29 | |
| Autozone Liberty Bowl | vs Kansas | W 55–53 |