Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Northern Iowa | W 48–17 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Colorado | W 41–10 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Wyoming | L 14–17 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Nevada | W 48–20 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Navy | W 13–10 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Utah State | L 27–34 | |
| Wk 7 | @ UNLV | W 42–7 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Boise State | L 14–19 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | @ Army | W 13–7 | |
| Wk 11 | vs New Mexico | W 35–3 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Colorado State | W 24–12 | |
| Wk 13 | @ San Diego State | W 13–3 | |
| Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl | vs Baylor | W 30–15 |