Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs UT Martin | W 59–21 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Army | L 35–38 | |
| Wk 3 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 4 | vs Indiana | L 31–33 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Michigan State | L 31–48 | |
| Wk 6 | vs UTSA | L 46–52 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Old Dominion | W 43–20 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Florida International | W 34–19 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Charlotte | W 45–13 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 48–21 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Rice | W 42–21 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Florida Atlantic | W 52–17 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Marshall | W 53–21 | |
| Wk 14 | @ UTSA | L 41–49 | |
| Com Boca Raton Bowl | @ App State | W 59–38 |