Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Boise State | W 36–31 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 63–14 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Louisville | L 35–42 | |
| Wk 4 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 5 | @ Navy | L 30–34 | |
| Wk 6 | vs East Carolina | W 20–16 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Cincinnati | L 21–56 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Memphis | W 24–7 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Temple | W 49–7 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Tulane | W 14–10 | |
| Wk 11 | @ SMU | L 28–55 | |
| Wk 12 | vs UConn | W 49–17 | |
| Wk 13 | vs South Florida | W 17–13 | |
| Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl | @ Florida | W 29–17 |