Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Abilene Christian | W 56–9 | |
| Wk 2 | vs North Texas | W 35–12 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Louisiana Tech | W 39–37 | |
| Wk 4 | @ TCU | W 42–34 | |
| Wk 5 | vs South Florida | W 41–17 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Navy | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Tulane | W 55–26 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Houston | L 37–44 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Memphis | L 25–28 | |
| Wk 11 | vs UCF | W 55–28 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Cincinnati | L 14–48 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Tulsa | L 31–34 |