Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs New Mexico State | W 28–10 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Arizona | W 38–14 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Utah | W 33–31 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Towson | W 48–21 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | vs New Mexico | W 31–7 | |
| Wk 7 | @ San José State | W 19–13 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Air Force | W 20–14 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Fresno State | L 20–30 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Hawai'i | W 17–10 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Nevada | W 23–21 | |
| Wk 12 | @ UNLV | W 28–20 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Boise State | W 27–16 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Utah State | L 13–46 | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl | vs UTSA | W 38–24 |