Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Northwestern State | W 44–14 | |
| Wk 2 | @ SMU | L 12–35 | |
| Wk 3 | vs UAB | L 6–40 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Louisiana Tech | L 17–24 | |
| Wk 5 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 6 | @ Missouri | L 35–48 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Marshall | L 21–49 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Liberty | L 26–35 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Rice | W 30–24 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Southern Miss | W 38–14 | |
| Wk 11 | vs UTEP | W 20–17 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Florida International | W 49–7 | |
| Wk 13 | vs UTSA | W 45–23 | |
| Playoff Game | @ Miami (OH) | L 14–27 |