Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ California | W 22–17 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Idaho State | W 49–10 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Kansas State | L 17–38 | |
| Wk 4 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 5 | @ Boise State | W 41–31 | |
| Wk 6 | vs New Mexico State | W 55–28 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Hawai'i | W 34–17 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Fresno State | L 32–34 | |
| Wk 9 | vs UNLV | W 51–20 | |
| Wk 10 | vs San José State | W 27–24 | |
| Wk 11 | @ San Diego State | L 21–23 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Air Force | L 39–41 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Colorado State | W 52–10 | |
| Quick Lane Bowl | vs Western Michigan | L 24–52 |