Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Monmouth | W 50–15 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Virginia Tech | L 14–35 | |
| Wk 3 | @ UTSA | L 13–27 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Charlotte | L 39–42 | |
| Wk 5 | vs Marshall | W 34–28 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Liberty | L 13–41 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | @ UConn | W 44–13 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Southern Miss | W 35–10 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Western Kentucky | L 21–48 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Florida International | W 50–10 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Old Dominion | L 17–24 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Florida Atlantic | W 27–17 | |
| Bahamas Bowl | @ Toledo | W 31–24 |