Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Nicholls | W 42–17 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Arkansas State | W 55–50 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Mississippi State | W 31–29 | |
| Wk 4 | vs UTSA | L 28–31 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Temple | L 31–34 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Tulsa | L 29–35 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Navy | W 35–17 | |
| Wk 8 | @ UCF | L 7–24 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs SMU | W 28–25 | |
| Wk 11 | vs East Carolina | L 29–30 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Houston | L 13–31 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Tulane | W 33–28 |