Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Mississippi State | L 34–35 | |
| Wk 2 | vs SE Louisiana | W 45–42 | |
| Wk 3 | vs SMU | L 37–39 | |
| Wk 4 | vs North Texas | W 24–17 | |
| Wk 5 | @ NC State | L 27–34 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ UTEP | L 3–19 | |
| Wk 8 | vs UTSA | L 16–45 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Old Dominion | L 20–23 | |
| Wk 10 | @ UAB | L 38–52 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Charlotte | W 42–32 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Southern Miss | L 19–35 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Rice | L 31–35 |