Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Campbell | W 48–7 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Troy | W 21–13 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Old Dominion | W 45–17 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Syracuse | L 21–24 | |
| Wk 5 | @ UAB | W 36–12 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 41–13 | |
| Wk 7 | @ UL Monroe | L 28–31 | |
| Wk 8 | @ North Texas | W 35–26 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Massachusetts | W 62–17 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Ole Miss | L 14–27 | |
| Wk 11 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 12 | vs Louisiana | L 14–42 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Army | L 16–31 | |
| Lendingtree Bowl | vs Eastern Michigan | W 56–20 |