Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Texas Tech | L 21–38 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Rice | W 44–7 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Grambling | W 45–0 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Navy | W 28–20 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Tulsa | W 45–10 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Tulane | W 40–22 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs East Carolina | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 9 | vs SMU | W 44–37 | |
| Wk 10 | @ South Florida | W 54–42 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Temple | W 37–8 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Memphis | W 31–13 | |
| Wk 13 | @ UConn | W 45–17 | |
| Ticketsmarter Birmingham Bowl | @ Auburn | W 17–13 |