Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Saint Francis | W 35–15 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Wisconsin | L 7–34 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Massachusetts | W 42–28 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Texas State | W 59–21 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Northern Illinois | L 20–27 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Miami (OH) | W 13–12 | |
| Wk 7 | vs Ball State | L 31–38 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Bowling Green | W 55–24 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | @ Toledo | W 52–49 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Ohio | L 26–34 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Western Michigan | W 22–21 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Central Michigan | L 10–31 | |
| Lendingtree Bowl | @ Liberty | L 20–56 |