Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs The Citadel | W 52–14 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Kansas | W 49–22 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Buffalo | W 28–25 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Massachusetts | W 53–3 | |
| Wk 5 | vs UL Monroe | W 59–6 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Arkansas State | W 52–20 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | @ App State | L 27–30 | |
| Wk 9 | vs Troy | W 35–28 | |
| Wk 10 | @ Georgia Southern | W 28–8 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Georgia State | L 40–42 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Texas State | W 35–21 | |
| Wk 13 | @ South Alabama | W 27–21 | |
| Tailgreeter Cure Bowl | vs Northern Illinois | W 47–41 |