Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Miami (OH) | W 49–14 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Murray State | W 42–7 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Indiana | W 38–24 | |
| Wk 4 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 5 | @ Notre Dame | W 24–13 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Temple | W 52–3 | |
| Wk 7 | vs UCF | W 56–21 | |
| Wk 8 | @ Navy | W 27–20 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Tulane | W 31–12 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Tulsa | W 28–20 | |
| Wk 11 | @ South Florida | W 45–28 | |
| Wk 12 | vs SMU | W 48–14 | |
| Wk 13 | @ East Carolina | W 35–13 | |
| Wk 14 | vs Houston | W 35–20 | |
| Semifinal | @ Alabama | L 6–27 |