Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Duke | W 31–28 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 38–10 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Georgia State | L 9–20 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Middle Tennessee | W 42–39 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Illinois | L 14–24 | |
| Wk 6 | @ Florida International | W 45–33 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Florida Atlantic | L 9–38 | |
| Wk 9 | @ Western Kentucky | L 13–45 | |
| Wk 10 | vs Rice | W 31–24 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Louisiana Tech | L 32–42 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Marshall | L 28–49 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Old Dominion | L 34–56 |