Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ Georgia State | W 43–10 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Western Kentucky | W 38–35 | |
| Wk 3 | vs UConn | W 52–21 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Miami (OH) | W 23–10 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Ball State | L 16–28 | |
| Wk 6 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 7 | @ Wisconsin | L 14–20 | |
| Wk 8 | vs Wake Forest | L 56–70 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | @ Air Force | W 21–14 | |
| Wk 11 | vs Bucknell | W 63–10 | |
| Wk 12 | vs Massachusetts | W 33–17 | |
| Wk 13 | @ Liberty | W 31–16 | |
| Wk 14 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 15 | vs Navy | L 13–17 | |
| Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl | vs Missouri | W 24–22 |