Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Central Arkansas | W 40–21 | |
| Wk 2 | vs Memphis | L 50–55 | |
| Wk 3 | @ Washington | L 3–52 | |
| Wk 4 | @ Tulsa | L 34–41 | |
| Wk 5 | @ Georgia Southern | L 33–59 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Coastal Carolina | L 20–52 | |
| Wk 7 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 8 | vs Louisiana | L 27–28 | |
| Wk 9 | @ South Alabama | L 13–31 | |
| Wk 10 | vs App State | L 14–48 | |
| Wk 11 | @ UL Monroe | W 27–24 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Georgia State | L 20–28 | |
| Wk 13 | vs Texas State | L 22–24 |