Independent power rankings, predictions, win probabilities, and game results.
| Week | Opponent | Result / Prediction | vs Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs Lafayette | W 35–14 | |
| Wk 2 | @ Navy | W 23–3 | |
| Wk 3 | vs Utah State | L 45–49 | |
| Wk 4 | vs Florida Atlantic | W 31–7 | |
| Wk 5 | @ New Mexico | W 38–10 | |
| Wk 6 | vs Wyoming | W 24–14 | |
| Wk 7 | @ Boise State | W 24–17 | |
| Wk 8 | vs San Diego State | L 14–20 | |
| Wk 9 | Bye | — | — |
| Wk 10 | vs Army | L 14–21 | |
| Wk 11 | @ Colorado State | W 35–21 | |
| Wk 12 | @ Nevada | W 41–39 | |
| Wk 13 | vs UNLV | W 48–14 | |
| Servpro First Responder Bowl | @ Louisville | W 31–28 |